It is impossible to make a 100% forecast for a specific cryptocurrency, for a short or long position. Even experienced specialists who make forecasts in the cryptocurrency market, practically only 70 or 75% of their forecasts are true. therefore, one way or another, any trader is faced with an unpredictable development of events in the market.
Yes, we are unable to predict the crypto market directions with all 100% accuracy as it is based on probability calculations which is dealing about happening and not-happening of one event with same rate of possibilities.