Frankly,  I don't see how Georgia could be considered anything but a toss up state and I don't think it would be unreasonable to make Texas one as well.  What you seem to be arguing is that polls are worthless or even malicious.

While it's impressive how effective Trump has been at convincing his supporters that a negative poll is a direct attack on himself and therefore the pollsters must be attacked in his defense, if you step back and consider the experience and track record of the reputable polling companies - you realize there is too much of an incentive for them to be as accurate and unbiased as possible.