Post
Topic
Board Economics
Merits 1 from 1 user
Re: Monkeys: Don't do trend analysis! (with poll)
by
mu_enrico
on 25/08/2020, 11:30:16 UTC
⭐ Merited by fiulpro (1)
Yes but only about 1 second in advance.
Why one second?

Random theories are just more or less lucky guesses, I'd rather be researching into an asset I want to invest in, be it stocks or cryptocurrency, to get an understanding of the market and even if not for the immediate profits, but so I'll be productive in that field in the long term. That being said, true random guesses could give you profits some time, but if you learn all there is about an investment market, you can always make profits for a lifetime.
What makes you different than professional analysts whose beaten by darts?

it says you cannot predict it using past data and two things are different. It says one cannot outperform the market without assuming "additional risk" this risk is called un systematic often referred to as Beta. Trader doesn't only predicts the direction of the market but along with that ascertains the risk of that trade and reward which he is willing to take.
And how do we calculate individual stock's beta?

Bur here the theory that you have suggested is something that i have serious doubts on, since this is very weird and twisted
...
One experiment showing results opposite to the one the theory can kill the theory instantly , even if it has years of backing up and data.
Lol weird and twisted?! Read this paper's conclusion mate Grin