You don’t take into account at all that halving happened in 2016, and that a bunch of ICOs were in full swing, and also that people completely misinterpreted the BTC futures that happened right at the end of 2017. The media pumped up the whole thing to the maximum, and BTC was everywhere because some expected the price to go up to $100 000.

As a member of this forum since 2014 (if the information is correct) you should know better the answer to some questions and understand what time we live in. We are now in anticipation of the halving effect that happened a few months ago, but nowhere is it determined what the price of Bitcoin will be in 1 month, a year or five years.

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The OP claims to be this member -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=352185