Well from my point of view if the government of Russia reaches an agreement as it says in the post, possibly this is to promote more PETRO since we know that it is a cryptocurrency that the government of Russia and Venezuela is promoting and in places like vk (the Russian facebook) is used,
I highly doubt that
usage when the coin has 300 transactions a day
https://explorador.petro.gob.ve/insightand almost all of them are generated by a few addresses:
https://explorador.petro.gob.ve/insight/address/PPHjLphDotbMey3NrxTyW7hsRHiT7jzJbhAll this makes sense. A miner could be identified. But a small miner like the one you are suggestions does not receive coinbase transactions. He receives a share which he gets from the pool.
Goverment would identify him, but couldn't still coerce him to pay everything. He could just commit russia government bitcoin address with a fraction of his hashpower, and there is no way he could be tracked.
Of course, what you say makes sense also, but in theory...
If you were a small miner, thus making 300-400 $ maximum a month, that after electricity costs would mean at least two s19pro, would you risk for those seven years in prison?
When you're far away it's easy to say, they will not catch me, but would still sleep comfortably at night knowing what your risk once caught?
As for coercion, remember who we're talking about, a government that has no problem making people drink flavored tea, committing suicide by jumping from the 8th floor of a two stories high building, and many more like this. Would you keep on mining if you see news about this every day for a week on national tv?
No, if they want to annihilate home mining, they can, this is not a free country we're talking where you can sue or protest against the government, but as I said before I think they voted something just for the sake of voting, it's not the first time they have no clue what law they've just passed.
I'm sure that once they realize they will either amend it or drop it altogether, or make it that only one branch of the police can act on it and that branch will never take action.