Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Serious question about Bitcoin. Is it a reliable and stable investment?
by
philipma1957
on 15/09/2020, 02:56:14 UTC
Hi guys. I have a friend who's parents are looking for alternatives and want to invest money into something other than their IRA account. They have a fixed IRA with about $100K, but they are unsatisfied with the miserable amount of interest they're getting. I mentioned to them that bitcoin is a possible alternative and one they can look into. Do you agree? Do you guys consider bitcoin a reliable and stable investment for long term holding(5-10yrs)? Is it safe to assume the only direction(barring a few dips here and there) bitcoin will eventually go from here is up? Do you foresee it going below $10K, or even $9K ever again? Is it even possible to see the lows we saw a few months ago(ie $3500) ever again?

Please give me your thoughts. IRA or Bitcoin for the long term?

both. 80% ira 20% btc. 80k + 20k

my logic is as follows.

 btc will bust or grow like mad.

ira will grind out 1 to 2% a year.

so in ten years if btc goes 3x you have  60k
if ira grinds 2% a year you have 96k

total of  156k

if btc busts or does really bad. it may be  only 10k a loss

but the ira grinds out the 2% and you have  of 96k this plus 10k means 106k

so the two cases above are 156 + 106 which is 262 / 2 = 131 average

if you do all 100% ira at 2% you get 120

so a gain of 31 in two cases averaged 6 on the low side 62 on the high side.
or a gain  20.

so I would hedge 80 ira 20 btc.

and review in. 10 years.




note disclaimer
i am not a professional. my writings are not advice.

so if you do all ira and are angry at a failure i am not to blame
if you do 80 ira + 20 btc and are angry i am not to blame.
if you do 20 ira + 80 btc and are angry i am not to blame.
lastly if do 100 btc and are angry i am not to blame.

but for me 80 ira 20 btc is my personal choice for myself.