I think it is never a time where we can all agree that BTC won't drop under a certain value. The volatility of the market can not take into account how other external economic factors might influence the market value of crypto, and thus can never be expected that dumping or jumping in whatever proportion will no happen. I think if people assume that BTC can not go below 10k and start investing only to find out that it can, it would be a petty and not to mention a huge risk.