Only a few days out, so some concluding remarks on this election cycle in regards to the campaigns.
I'll start with Trump because he is obviously the extreme underdog.
If Trump loses:
I think his campaign was ran horribly. His last 1.5 weeks of campaigning was based on a Hunter Biden story which correctly points out that Hunter used his dad's last name to make bank across the globe. But, who cares? The media would never run with it, obviously, and Americans do not care enough to do research into the matter themselves. Other issues are more important. There's evidence that the polling gap closed in Trump's favor over the last couple weeks, so it was a devastating mistake to shift his campaign message away from Biden's extreme policies, and focus it on his son who isn't running. My personal view is that the Hunter Biden story pointed out that Biden is this typical Washington DC corrupt politician, but again, is some middle class family man going to think the same thing? Would they care? Meh.
COVID-19 obviously another reason why Trump loses. Joe Biden is the normal candidate and Americans, when faced with crisis, depend on someone who is "normal" for comfort. I don't really blame them. If all you are watching is CNN doom and gloom headlines, you will feel panicked. Trump also like a fucking dipshit ran his Twitter account into overdrive (this is my BIGGEST gripe with Trump, being a complete fool with his twitter account). He on, numerous occasions, would butt heads with Dr. Fauci who was the only doctor that Americans would feel comfortable with (for reasons I don't understand). On policy, Trump didn't do that bad. But do Americans *feel* safe with Trump in office? Probably not. And we know how this works, feelings over facts.
If Biden loses:
In my opinion, it's because of two reasons.
1.) Kamala Harris
2.) Splitting the lane with the moderates and the left.
You can get the strong sense, even if you're a liberal, that Kamala Harris is an extremely dishonest character. Realistically, had it not been for George Floyd, we would see Klobuchar as Biden's VP pick. This knee jerk reaction to select a black woman who has an extreme left history (GND, most liberal record in Senate, Medicare 4 all) would be Biden's biggest mistake. She was California's top cop, and now she is supposedly going to be a champion of the left and fight for police reform? Sure. Anyone can recognize she is an opportunist who say anything to get elected. She is going to be the U.S.'s president if Biden wins.
Second point, Joe Biden on policy needed to stick to the moderate lane and he didn't. Whether it's in regard to police reform, climate change, immigration/amnesty, he's chosen the extreme far left position across the board to capture the far left and moderate lane. Problem is, you really can't have both. Biden's suggestion that America and law enforcement are systemically racist is not a winning message. Advocating for trillions in government spending to make a miniscule impact on climate change while destroying the U.S. economy is not a winning plan. And paving the way for millions of illegals to become citizens just so you get more democratic voters not a logical way to solve illegal immigration. I've said it before -- on policy, Trump wins. On character, Biden wins by a landslide. I guess we'll see on Tuesday what Americans care more about but if the polling is any indication, we already know the answer.