Post
Topic
Board Politics & Society
Re: [BET] Trump or not Trump 2020, eddie13 vs suchmoon
by
Gyfts
on 05/11/2020, 06:18:11 UTC

Trump still has a chance in AZ, as in NV. He could also possibly flip WI. MI seems less likely.

Trump has outperformed predictions across the board. The same is true for down-ballot races. Some were predicting Democrats to pick up as many as 15 House seats, and there was a prediction on election night that Democrats would pick up 5 House seats, however Republicans ended up gaining at least 5 House seats, and it seems likely they will flip as many as an additional 7 House seats. Democrats were also favored to flip the Senate, however, that also looks especially unlikely at this time.  



I'm not optimistic at all. Seems like we're getting our hopes up for nothing. Fox News was the first org. to call AZ then AP called AZ. Fox covered this election fairly and I don't think they'd risk calling AZ early.

Nate Silver talked about it being too early to call which gave me hope but being down 3 points + is what bothers me.