Post
Topic
Board Politics & Society
Re: [BET] Trump or not Trump 2020, eddie13 vs suchmoon
by
PrimeNumber7
on 07/11/2020, 03:28:43 UTC

WI and MI have both been called for Biden.

AZ has been called for Biden as well, though it seems like this call may have been too early. News reports are saying that with the amount of absentee ballots Trump could still pull the state back. - If Biden ends up winning this, then NV can decide the fate of this election.

NV has not been called, it's close right now as they're counting the absentee ballots. I think Trump will pull through and win this.

I agree with the analysis about AZ and NV regarding the tourism industry and why they'll be a bit happier to turn to Trump regarding opening the economy.

GA is going to be tight, Pennsylvania as well. Friday will probably be when we hear about these.
A state being "called" only means that an entity has said that based on the available (almost always incomplete) information (despite what the NY Times wants you to believe), a candidate has a high probability of winning. Ultimately, in order for a candidate to win an election, all the legal votes need to be counted, and the secretary of state needs to certify the results. There is the possibility of litigation that may change the outcome of elections in states in which "all" the votes have been counted. For example, there are alligations that software caused 6,000 votes in MI cast for Trump to count for Biden, and this software is used in over 45 counties in MI.

There are still votes outstanding in AZ and NV, and the margins are slim enough in both states that it is probably inappropriate for any outlet to "call" either of these races.

Remember that Trump does not actually need to win 270 electoral college votes to win the election. All he needs to do is prevent Biden from getting 270 by December 23. If no one has 270 electoral college votes by Dec 23, the new Congress will vote on who becomes the next President, which each state's delegation gets one vote, and Republicans are favored in this regard. Even Mitt Romney is on Trump's side currently, so I would not expect Republicans to be voting for Biden in a congressional election for president.