Of course, Bitcoin price can pass the ATH and has new ATH but we cannot claim it now. The next price for Bitcoin is something unpredictable, let's just monitor and still plan a realistic goal. As the current price is still around $16K, why don't try to predict the price to go $17K first? It should be more sense than predict passing the ATH ($20K).
History always repeats itself but you never know when it does.
Can we trust this? Honestly, I doubt it. Not each history can repeat, you must think realistically than rely on something doubtful.