There is a nice twitter bot that shows how many ETHs are locked at the moment
https://twitter.com/depositethWe are at 22.9% so probably there’s no chance we can see ETH2.0 going live by 1.Dec
These are the current stats. We are still not at the half way mark. It may take 2 or 3 more months for the launch of eth 2.0.

Check that chart now. This is gonna happen till 1st of Dec.
It seems to me that they will not collect 100% by December 1, maximum half, the dynamics of receipts is weak, build a diagram of eth receipts per day.
Deposit all reached over 73% according to the data maybe you didn't following the event. This could be the main reason why you ae betting on half even it crossed that limit few hours ago. With current speed it looking very possible at any moment.