Just like you said, no one knows exactly.

We are in altcoins season with so many fork coins and good news about certain coins in last 2 months, so we can expect the impact this month because of these news. However, once the hype is over and there is no good news remaining in this world then things starting to go really bad or even worse like in 2017-2018 era. My suggestion is don't take the hype so seriously and don't expect anything higher than reality.