I am as bullish as anyone on the future of XMR, and I believe most of the transaction volume growth is organic, however, this statement is not strictly true. The privacy features of XMR provide incentive for attackers to transact to attempt to weaken the privacy. Lets not forget the IRS bounty on tracking monero.

The NSA was tracking bitcoin users as early as 2013. In 2018 the department of defence ran war game scenarios involving a Bitcoin rebellion. Gavin visited the CIA in 2011. If the public even becomes aware of these initiatives it is typically years later.

Rest assured the public IRS announcement is not the only adversary trying to unravel Monero privacy. They are guaranteed to be running nodes, making transactions, monitoring the networking layer, collecting metadata, and tracking outputs.