This was never crazy
But you got your initial numbers wrong though. Based on past cycles the price has to go at least above $423,466 (same rise as previous cycle) and drop down to $85,333 (same drop as previous cycles).
Although I believe that with each cycle the size of the rise should grow while the size of the drop shrinks. Not to mention that we don't know how much FOMO the world is going to react with when something they were ignoring all this time surpasses $100k value.