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Re: [Interviews] with Bitcointalk members
by
fillippone
on 01/01/2021, 23:35:42 UTC
Anyone that got it right?
My prediction wasn't bad:
LoyceV (Legendary)
~
14. How much will Bitcoin cost at the end of 2020?

"I'll tell you in January Tongue No really, I'm terrible at predictions. If I'd know, I'd be rich! I still have high hopes for the coming months (after the last block reward halving)."
I know I said I have high hopes, but damn Shocked The current price is higher than I dared hope for.

Really?
I hardly understand why everybody is surprised by the price:

14. How much will Bitcoin cost at the end of 2020?

"I wouldn't be a PlanB Zealot, if I didn’t take the Stock to Flow seriously. So I take this answer from digitalik.net: 25,500 USD.
Also be warned I wouldn’t be a PlanB zealot if I take the model as a literal future prediction tool. "


That model has been working since 2010: why should have it been broken on Dec, 31?
The model will eventually break, probably because the dollar itself will, but this is another story...