i'll reiterate.  if you follow the minute by minute ticks of the USD vs almost everything else (i follow oil, the Dow, gold, silver, and a few currencies) you'll see an exact inverse correlation.

this means that these markets are not based on fundamentals but purely on speculation of further liquidity injections (criminality) from the world's central banks.  in other words, these f*ckers allowing you to be raped.  as a result of this i actually think that price means everything.  in other words the techinicals trump the fundamentals in this particular situation.  you almost cannnot reason what the markets will do.  you have to follow what they are doing.  otherwise, you will get raped.  and what they are doing is going down.