I agree with your idea that trading crypto is not certain but it is very volatile and volatile fluctuations are very unpredictable, not to mention pumping, dump, and FOMO because if we are swept away In this crypto we will not have a chance to sell it to others and we will lose more money.
Its true the market is high volatile that's why we have lots of chance to earn a lot .Besides it will too risky we can loose our asset quickly .Market is always a uncertain place .Here you can just predict but don't be sure how it will act with you .That's we need lot more study and research before entering to the market .