I was vacillating a bit about whether to send a merit regarding what I consider a bit of a delusional explanation, even though it also did raise a few points.. so what the fuck.. I sent a merit..

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Sure, a fun little game that largely is due to randomness.  By the way, how are you measuring the guess of the BTC price on 2/19? Do you do the weighted average for the day or the closing price or the low of the day?  which exchange or averager? a range of all possibilities would likely put the 95% of the BTC price bellcurve between about $12.5k and $100k, so any price guessed within such range would be reasonable with prices in the middle of the bell curve to be more likely... (phillip's guess seems pretty damned reasonable to me, too) So, with a bit of a leaning towards the lower middle of that range.. with around 38 days to go, I will randomly guess the weighted BTC price on Bitstamp based on the BTC price posted in this thread for such date to be $33,553...        you fuck