It's going to be a year of violent swings in both directions.  I think traders are either going to get smart or get hammered, no middle ground.  The best case for non active traders are going to be either cost dollar average or to buy on extreme dips.  I am waiting for a true decoupling of US Market/BTC and the US Market/GLD&SLV.  People said this happened 12-18 months ago, but that is not true - there was not a definitive decoupling.  Once we see this, traders will be able to better gage the direction.