New Zealand might be in good form but they didn't play much test cricket in away condition and last time they went to play against Australia in Australia.
So New Zealand always choke when playing in away condition and there is possibility that England might be the second team getting qualified for the WTC and that would be a great match up and the ICC could hype the match as the revenge match for their loss in the ODI world cup and England will win it comprehensively with the form they are in

.
Wait, India is there to destroy the dreams of everyone and its time to remember what happened to AUS in their home ground. India may lose their first series but still, they got the advantage of winning this series if the right combination of players were chosen. I believe Kohli also working now to find things right because they know the Indian conditions better than anyone.