and also i Miss Losing in my BS predictions using BTC 
haha I have plenty of this
since i love betting in an option that gives higher gain. I have a streak of losses following what I like but losses are very minimal since I always bet in minimum as much as possible. You are right, but we are going to make nice money from this, believe me. I am sure of it. With Bitcoin at $50,000, it is not hard to imagine that people will think $20,000 is already a thing of the past. So, it is much better to bet on this earlier. This question will have more bettors in the days to come and they will bet No for sure.
I don't think the payout is not that big if ever we won this one since there are more people who bet that BTC price won't fall below $20k.
Who will bet Yes when the price is reaching one new ATH after another? This is easy money, baby.
This is the reason why we won't get that much if ever NO wins. And it isn't easy money because we have to wait for 11 months to know the result
. One of the hardest things in life is waiting especially when one lacks patience and perseverance (refers to me sometimes).