About two thirds of bets are for NO and I guess the chance to see $20,000 dip is possible. Price often moves to what most of traders, investors, gamblers do not think of. It is the game of faith, risk management and manipulation. If I was a whale, I would make a plan to dump bitcoin back to $20,000. I have more belief to do it if I look at the NO bets.
~snip
The only whales that can do that are those who had bitcoin before 2017 and in the year 2018-2019. Wouldn't he hesitate to take that risk just for the intention of falling the price of bitcoin to $20,000 and just for those who have the most votes not to win in the pool? Also, what happened then will never happen again, so with the rise of bitcoin and when it collapses it will create another ATH in the next four years with x20, nice analysis.