With current total market cap it looking impossible to hit $10 by the end of the year. It all depend on BTC's growth how much it will gain during this cycle if its market cap will be above $5 trillion than ADA has good chance to hit that level otherwise it could take few year or until the next cycle.
That's right, I totally agree that it all depends on the growth of BTC in the market, because now everyone can see when BTC is experiencing a correction in a few percent, then others will always follow it including ADA tokens.