What generally happens when mining becomes unproffitable is the miners themselves refuse to sell bitcoins at a loss.
This drives up the price of bitcoin.
Then more miners come in when profitability increases.
So on and so forth.
There is generally a 3 month delay in the shifting of the bitcoin price,
It happened when the reward halved. It happened when difficulty increased when ASICs arrived on there scene.
Believe me guys, it'll happen again. SO INVEST ALL YOUR SPARE CASH IN BITCOINS! NOW!!

To the extent that difficulty has an impact on price, and that is far from certain, it will become less of a factor as the number of mined coins becomes a smaller percentage of total coins. Plus, my understanding is that most of those who received the first batches of ASICs last summer/fall easily made a return on their investment. I don't think there is any good evidence that the price rose in November because miners pulled their supply from the market.
In fact, I think that the first miners that received ASICs that failed to return on the initial investment (or will almost certainly fail to ROI) received them in the past few months - a period where the price has been generally declining (due to external factors, but that's my point). There's no reason to think that those miners are holding their supply - maybe some are, but others may be selling, reasoning that getting 70% of their investment back is better than risking getting less back if the price continues to decline. The cost of the equipment is a sunk cost in any event - a rational miner will decide whether to hold or sell their coins for the same reasons as anyone else.