Doesn't need long complicated answers - just a simple question:
Do you invest
1. mainly on price/the market trends
2. mainly on the underlying usefulnesss of the token
3. pretty even split of the two.
If you are a newbie when it comes to investing there is a very easy and trusted strategy that can give you good profits, buy bitcoin and hold, that is it, that two step strategy is more than enough to outperform most traders and most markets as well, can you find someone that made more money trading? Of course but they are a rarity.
What if you have a lot of experience in several markets? Buying and holding still seems like the best strategy under those circumstances, now in order to maximize the amount of bitcoin you get for your fiat maybe you want to buy during the dips but for the most part buying regularly will be good enough.