Pretty much this. Not to be offensive or anything, but waffle is running a business. He can't stake all of his clients (the miners) on a gamble that dogecoin goes up, even if we're 90% sure of it happening. He's got to run based on concrete data. That's how the algorithm works.

If you're looking for a manually determined multipool, check out wemineall. All of their switching is done by hand right now, per their devs.