This is very likely, but not in 2022 in my opinion. A covid pass could come if the mutations continue. But at the current rate it will take a long time until they have vaccines for everybody. AstraZeneca vaccine was stopped again for people under 60 years of age. If they manage to get more working vaccines maybe, but I don't see it happening with 1 or 2 years, there are so many people in this world.