I’d love to have a view from Aminorex.
We are likely to break USD ATH this year. By how much I don’t have a clue, but I think around 800usd is possible.
BTC ATH, not gonna happen tho. Maybe by 2025
So you think BTC has already topped out for this Epoch? I will be very suprised if that is so.. I see it as an edge case, one that balances the "supercycle" edge case on the other extreme... I think the latter is actually MORE likely aside from the over-abundance of bullishness... max pain supports your theory.
As to Monero. I see the chance it decouples significantly from bitcoin to be fairly small. But better than most other coins. But that is what it would have to do to fulfil your above scenario... XMR @ 800 with BTC continuing to drop.
I think it is more likely that we see more BTC action, and *probably* a XMRBTC pullback with continued hold/rise in XMRUSD.
I could see XMR in 4 digits USD EASILY in this scenario...