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Well, first of all, I hear this saying for the first time .. (
probably because I have not read the biography of Mark Twain, which contains this expression). Secondly, I believe that I did not take into account one of the important variables, given that in addition to the 47% chance there is also the value "HI" "Lo" and the fact that I did not use an auto rate. I have no other explanation, because with the usual 47% chance there cannot be 10-15 losses in a row.
Sorry for the late reply, I was a little busy over the weekend