What is your reasons for picking $2-3?
BTC's were slowly rising from $1-$2/$3 before the artificially induced bubble. My belief is that $2-$3 is the true value of BTC's at this time.
What is your evidence that the bubble was artificially induced?
The bubble was mainly due to media hype - national and global media reporting about silkroad etc. However, this is just my opinion
It was up to $9 before the silk road article. The crash from $30 was caused by a combination of the Allinvain BS and Mt.Gox hack.