To easily calculate your chances use this website >
http://solochance.com/.
But how often do you think a solo miner solves a block on their own? Any good stories or discussions on the topic?
This is the last block solved on CKsolo
Looks like a block hit!!!
And there it is! It's nice to have confirmation everything's working perfectly fine on the pool, and to finally break through that 8 bit barrier for our 256th block! Congratulations to the miner, and all the people who contributed to help keep the pool alive. And only a 50TH miner!
[2020-06-03 21:30:14.977] Possible block solve diff 26941303407284.085938 !
[2020-06-03 21:30:15.042] BLOCK ACCEPTED!
[2020-06-03 21:30:15.043] Solved and confirmed block 632928 by 1JfDwdSURAxgWqbQRQz4sY12wniGY3Sxtj.18
[2020-06-03 21:30:15.043] User 1JfDwdSURAxgWqbQRQz4sY12wniGY3Sxtj:{"hashrate1m": "49.1T", "hashrate5m": "52.9T", "hashrate1hr": "55.2T", "hashrate1d": "77.1T", "hashrate7d": "77.7T"}
[2020-06-03 21:30:15.043] Worker 1JfDwdSURAxgWqbQRQz4sY12wniGY3Sxtj.18:{"hashrate1m": "11.4T", "hashrate5m": "12.4T", "hashrate1hr": "12.7T", "hashrate1d": "13.6T", "hashrate7d": "13.5T"}
[2020-06-03 21:30:15.046] Block solved after 22464198046703 shares at 148.4% diff
https://btc.com/0000000000000000000a7292ccf3210d10e809b41ebfebd0c1c3f7c0f230877dThe miner was lucky to solve a block with 77.7th being his 7d average, of course, we don't know for how long it was, but he most certainly earned more than we could ever earn mining on a pool.
But not everyone is lucky enough, solo mining should be done for fun (I do it for fun on Cksolo), but your main hash power should be pointed towards a pool if you want to make some profit.