Deflationary tokens will take some time to go up. since they are launched with maximum supply and as the supply will go down price will go up. Main goal for dev team is to keep project alive till the time supply is decreased to create scarcity of cons. If they can do this, nothing can stop the coin from going to moon.
Who knows? May be it can rise tomorrow or it can't. But i think you have an great understanding about it.
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Crypto is complex and AFAIK there aren't many who understand it correctly till date. You need to jump into coin whether its PIK or any other before it leaves for moon i.e. to buy it at right price. Remember every coin has a day and you need patience to wait for that day.