Re: PrimeDice.com | 500M+ Bets | 300k+ BTC Wagered | Free BTC | 1% Edge | Instant
Okay, I don't know if the site is rigged or not.
But from a statistical point of view, it is not really that impossible to see 21 reds and 9 greens in 30 bets with p=49.5%.
Probability to win = 49.5%
Probability to lose = 50.5%
Probability to get 21 reds and 9 greens in 30 bets = 30! / 9! / 21! * (49.5%)^21 * (50.5%)^9 = 1.18%.
The chance is small, but it is not that rare.
But from a statistical point of view, it is not really that impossible to see 21 reds and 9 greens in 30 bets with p=49.5%.
Probability to win = 49.5%
Probability to lose = 50.5%
Probability to get 21 reds and 9 greens in 30 bets = 30! / 9! / 21! * (49.5%)^21 * (50.5%)^9 = 1.18%.
The chance is small, but it is not that rare.
Yes the chance if you roll 30 rolls exactly, it is 1.18 % chance, which is low. But what happens when you roll say, 10000 times.
The odds of that happening in a 30 roll sequence become about 99%, which is not good for you.
Besides you act like 21/30 is that bad....I have lost more in a row then that on 49.5.
Yes, and so I said "The chance is small, but it is not that rare."
When you win a lottery, you would only think of "Holy crap, I am very very lucky", but you won't think "Hmm that is pretty normal, after all there is always a winner" lol
Similarly, when you get a loss in a 98% bet, most of people will be thinking "Holy crap, the game must be rigged", and I guess I can understand that...
PLEASE DON'T TAKE MY WORD FOR IT!~ TRY MARTINGALE AT SOME HIGH % YOU WILL SEE THESE SCUMBAGS HAVE THIS GAME RIGGED!!! SERIOUSLY = *TORCHES AND PITCHFORKS!* =)
First, please calm yourself down.
Second, as I said, I have no idea if PD is rigged or not, but I was looking your situation as an statistical problem.
Third, if I toss a coin 10 times, I would be very surprised to see 10 consecutive heads. But if I ask 1000 persons to keep tossing a coin for hours or days, I would not be surprised to see someone somehow getting 10, 15 or even 20 consecutive heads.
DUDE THIS SITE IS WRONG IN MORE WAYS THAN ONE~ASIDE FROM BEING RIGGED THEY PUT VIRUSES ON YOUR COMPUTER...AGAIN DON'T TAKE MY WORD FOR IT!!!!*CHECK IT OUT YOURSELF IF YOU DARE ~=)
Ofc we will not take ur word for it. Ur word is worth nothing just like ur rating here on btctalk shows.
And one more reason is we play there all the time.