sometimes analysis can approach accuracy in reading market price movements, but as we know in a matter of seconds the predictions we believe can change drastically because they are confused by whales who are able to pump and dump at any time
If the holder, who has thousands of bitcoins in his account, decides that he urgently needs a yacht and he sells BTC at the market price, this will entail a dump of bitcoin, and with it the entire cryptocurrency market. So very often, such spontaneous decisions to sell BTC have nothing to do with politics or any other news.