These first races showed that there is not that much difference between Mercedes and RedBull but there is between Lewis Hamilton and the other drivers as is him that is making a difference.This weekend we have Monaco Gp which in theory is a boring one but just some rain and it makes it extremely interesting.
Monaco is always boring but always interesting.
This year cars lost 18%-10% of their grip so a track like Monaco could be a thing since they are always near the walls.
About the weather. We have a very low chance of rain at least for now. (google)
But we have Mazepin

in Monaco, he can be the factor X for 3 safety cars.
I agree with you and I also think so, the race in Monaco is always between boring but always interesting through the narrow streets. Nevertheless every champion wants to win at least once in Monaco. Otherwise you're not really a champion? And yes Mazepin is a high factor for the safety car