Post
Topic
Board Mining speculation
Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread...
by
philipma1957
on 04/07/2021, 22:39:59 UTC
Give it another 36 hours before declaring a bigly drop again. 

24 hous later...  Grin

Quote
Latest Block:   689632  (12 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   86.8345%  (161 / 185.41 expected, 24.41 behind)

Comparing to what Phil had posted is a slight tick upwards from 84.6659% to 86.8345%.
That said, I don't think that the numbers would be that low either, who might be still shutting down, I would understand if it weren't just past the end of the month, so you could assume some people have got extra permission to mine till the full month is over before dismantling and packing but that's not the case. And gear is being shipped, bitmain might have stopped normal customer deliveries but they are forced by contracts like the ones with Mara and Riot to send miners out,  there is gear relocating around the world, I doubt we will even see a drop by the end of this period. Not with BTC prices finally going up a bit!

But still, I've been wrong so many times I wouldn't be amazed to see this epoch ending with another 10% down, predicting this stuff is out of my league it seems, at least if I get this wrong I get some extra $ so it's not as painful as before to completely miss stuff

And one more thing, we might have another player or a lot of individual mining farms getting blocks, Btc.com shows spike to 10% of unknown blocks in the last 3 days compared to 3% over the last 3 months.


Well you are bitmain.  you have 3 huge big could companies and a huge amount of hash you are running for cloud miners.

you also have 10% of the old network or 17eh. 2 months ago you mined 17,000 x 0.0045 = 76.50 coins. a day

this 17eh farm is not in china.

You close down all your cloud mines in china

you now have 17eh all yours mining 17,000 x 0.0092 = 156.4 coins a day..

did this happen ?

well read this cloud mine

https://support.viabtc.com/hc/en-us/articles/4402753997721-Announcement-on-the-Termination-of-ViaBTC-cloud-mining-service

this was in partnership with bitmain

bitdeer is open

https://www.bitdeer.com/pricing

https://www.hashnest.com/ is out of stock

all three have direct deals with bitmain


I do not know all details but

1 is down  and out

and 1 is sold out

and 1 is up. so it looks like the killed the viabtc one to boost  bitdeer but what do I know.