I see no reason why it cannot fall to the current 200 wma ($13,800?)
~snip~
but now is a superb time to buy. And who knows when or if ever again the stars will be so aligned.
Somehow I see these statements as contradictory

Clearly there will be some who will wait for the price to get to 13800$, 10000$, 1000$ or whatever, missing the opportunities, no matter how superb they are.
The news are full with newer and newer sources of fiat that will fill the market, obviously leading to a new solid bull run - sooner or later -, and only the too short sighted can ignore that.
I don't say that I have a crystal ball, but I don't see the 13800$ as something that can really happen this year. So I'll agree only with the "superb time to buy" part.
Of course, this is also not an investment advice.