Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Bitcoin current stage and price
by
adaseb
on 03/08/2021, 02:52:40 UTC
There are some people that are very bullish lately. Don't know if you guys follow options trading on Deribit but someone opened 2000 Calls with a $140000-$200000 options spread. Now for those that don't know. This is called a bull spread. What a bull spread does it makes the call option cheaper but limits the max amount of profit. So the $140K calls cost 0.02BTC while $200K calls cost 0.01BTC with year end expiry.

So somebody bought 2000 of the $140K calls for 0.02BTC and sold 2000 of the $200K calls for 0.01BTC. And their overall cost was 0.01BTC for the $140K calls. Now obviously bitcoin doesn't need to go to $140K+ for the option to make money, it just needs to start moving up way before year end and its premium will increase. So if BTC goes to like $50K in the next week, most likely this options premium will go up 50% or so.

Since 0.01BTC was the net cost, at $400 an contract, they spent $800,000 just to perform this trade. Wonder how it will pay off.