I already read the part where you gave those hint, but i still think it's quite short.
This indeed was way too easy.
If the probability of winning is larger than
negligible (smaller than the inverse of any polynomial function), it is not cryptographically secure and therefore is a bad encryptio scheme.
So, even if this mechanisms wouldn't leak plaintext bits (which it does) and if it wouldn't be purely based on security through obscurity (which it does), it still would be a worthless scheme.