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For this year Bitcoin will not go down at $30k, this is impossible for bitcoin, if you look at the current stable market conditions, I believe the scenario this year will be much different from 2018.
Even altcoins that did not have good expectations this year, actually rose quite well in the market, even though the increase in altcoins was not what people wanted, but what we need to understand this year is that the condition of all coins is good and growing.
You are obviously wrong, bitcoin was already dumped below $30k this year, and that is coming from a new ATH which was at $63500, so it's not impossible to dump again coming from $46,000 which is the current price. IMO, if we like to be realistic, let's expect the unexpected.
We have never expected this bullish run to come again and the same thing that we can never expect for a huge dump as well. So it is right, "expect the unexpected" is the only way to get prepared for anything that happens in the next few days.
If the current momentum will able to continue until the next quarter, reaching for another ATH is quite possible but of course, we can't expect that be going to happen especially when there are FUDs coming out.