I was attempting to make a framing, and surely the description of the last prices that happened should not be something that any of us should want to frame in any kind of exaggerating way in order to still be able to attempt to get the meaning from what happened.. and sure we are still in the midst of some of the various price performances.. and sure it is factually accurate that when BTC broke through the previous ATH of $19,666 it did end up going all the way up to $64,895... but it also had some significant corrections along the way and then it also gravitated back down..

.....and in my above attempt at framing the matter, I did not want to exaggerate any case for a situation that we are still within.. .. even thought the part about going to $64,895 did actually happen, tooo.. and if I were trying to make a different point, I would have been more inclined to frame the matter of going from pretty much $10k in early September 2020 to $64,895 in mid April 2021 as an actual factor to consider.. and I have made that kind of point regarding other things that I had been trying to say..

In this case, I am trying to bring some kind of emphasis to the idea of deadman zones that seem to exist in bitcoin when bitcoin is approaching and passing through previous ATH and could happen at other price points as well.... such as breaking above $10k for example and nearly doubling... and surely in late 2020, when we were approaching $19,666 the first time around (returning from a nearly 3 year correction), even when we were in the early stages of getting close to $19,666 (like in the $14k to $15k) price territory, I was already hypothesizing that we were likely going to end up experiencing a deadman's zone between about $17,250 and $23,500 - and of course, history shows that king daddy overshot my idea of a deadman's zone by at least an additional 70%.. and for sure there was a pretty major correction in the from about $42k back down to lower $30ks in January 2021.. even though the BTC price did ultimately continue UPpity and Onwards until reaching $64,895...

But still again we did end up getting caught back up in the upper $20ks and lower to mid $30ks for a couple of months.. and I believe those gravitation back down points are somewhat important for building a foundation for our likely to be next shooting through and noman's land that currently is in a kind of speculative, theoretical and continuing to build up the ammunition kind of way (coiling as Jimbo sometimes likes to emphasize).. .. so hypothesizing something that seems likely to be building up can still be described in a variety of ways that will later become more clear if they end up happening.. and then we get above $80k for example, and then there can be proclamations of either "I told you so" or "that did not end up playing out as bullishly as I had anticipated"... or some other retrospective assessment that also could be difficult to see, even while we are in the midst of it, even though some of us might theorize about that they dynamic that we are having and how the price performance may well play out, even if not even close to guaranteed (but seeming to be like an ongoing and frequent pattern that we tend to see).. blah blah blah.



Surely, I do not want to get ahead of my own lil selfie in terms of even some probable upside scenarios that I had already outlined a couple of times and highlighted in one of my recent posts... here.


Even though even my own estimates are not exactly consistent, it appears that I put greater than $200k scenarios for the whole cycle to be less than 20%... so the higher the number the longer it would likely take to play out.. and sure if we were to end up topping off the cycle during 4th quarter of 2021, then those numbers would likely potentially be smaller than if were were to top off in 1st quarter, 2nd quarter or even as late as the 3rd quarter of 2022.

By the way, your desires to want to place BTC happenings in terms of something like your b-day could well end up limiting your attempts at objectivity or even really attempting to grapple with the kinds of dynamics that go on rather than picking some random date that you feel special about but has no significance for the daddy beyond maybe just being coincidentally where some event might end up falling. after getting all the forces together and peeps playing their various cards that are sometimes successful, failures or some variant between - including possibly having no effect, as well.