Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
marcus_of_augustus
on 22/09/2021, 05:13:32 UTC
The next full moon will occur on Monday, Sept. 20 at 7:55 p.m. EDT (23:55 UTC), but the moon will appear full the night before and after its peak to the casual stargazer. September's full moon will be the Harvest Moon of 2021, though it is sometimes known as the Corn Moon and has many other nicknames by different cultures.

Is full moon the reason we got a dip? Do we get a pump at the next full moon?

There is a correlation between full moons around short-term reversals in price, due to emotional sentiment I imagine, so is possible that was the final dip. Will have a look and see if there's been a correlation in recent months and post some TA on it if it appears relevant...

Until I see some empirical proof, this whole full moon correlation will seem like untrustworthy, unscientific bs to me. why does it matter how much of the moon is darker in some parts and not others? Its just the reflection of light from the moon as seen from different perspectives.


... there's tons of empirical evidence out there if you would bother to go look.

... trying to rationalise in terms of the language of physics, e.g. gravitational pulls and reflections of light, is missing the obvious human factors that make up market pricing behaviours

... many sociological behaviours are heavily influenced by the lunar cycle, ~90% of menstruating woman ovulate on the full moon, ~5% on the new moon, heart attacks, strokes, domestic violence, social unrest all have correlations with the lunar cycle

... the other cycle I alluded to was the Northern Hemisphere autumnal equinox which has been long correlated with market crashes ... basically because humans are anxious about their preparedness for the upcoming winter, squirrels run around crazy burying nuts in fall, humans are little different

... many humandecisions, relationships, housing, jobs, especially financial decisions, that have been put off all summer (or years) will be taken near the full moon closest to the autumnal equinox ... you can bank on it, it's not physics but the forces are quite undeniable and powerful

... tl;dr markets are human inventions heavily influenced by human sentiment, women ovulate, men go nutz, shit happens