But I can't say stuff like that here, because:
Please don’t do that. We need critical thinkers more than anything at this time. Even if all hell breaks loose.
I've lived through the past bull runs of 2013 and 2017, and TBH, even having the experience of 2013 behind me, the bull run of 2017 still disappointed me. Because at that time, I believed way to hard that "this time is different".
But it wasn't any different. In both 2013 and 2017 cases there was a blow off top, and a bounce to a lower level top, and then finally months later, a high-volume capitulation.
So what do I see when I look at the current 2021 chart? A blow off top, and a bounce that we are currently in, that looks like a lower top forming. I still don't see a high-volume capitulation yet.
Will a capitulation happen this time, or will we just blow past that? I don't really know, I can't say. But something inside tells me it's possible that this time is no different than any of the others. This market just loves to make "fools of the bulls" almost every fkn time.
Just my 2c. I will hodl no matter what happens.
So to resume, you see on the chart that we already got the top of this cycle at 64xxx$ ? It seems very conservative for a experienced hodler like you.
But which type of capitulation are you looking for (like on the previous cycles) ? With a "small" multiple x3 between 2017 ATH and 2021 ATH... I have some doubts that we can go much much lower.. and bear for a long period either..
My 2cts too.