My gut is telling me S2F falls apart soon. In shambles and an afterthought by March 2022.
Hope I'm wrong, but I think we should expect a slower rise than some are anticipating.
I don't think S2F adequately compensates for the reduced effect of halvings. We're nearly at 90% mined. Supply is basically already fixed. Demand is what will drive appreciation.
Isn't S2F all about halvings? It's called Stock to Flow based on what is being mined or what supply is coming in, compared to what is already there.
To put this into better perspective:
90% mined by Dec 16, 2021
95% mined by Apr 3, 2026
99% mined by Mar 20, 2035
99.9% mined by Mar 19, 2048
However, I tend to believe that once we reach 20 million coins total mined is a better point, as that's above 95% 96%, around 2024-ish, or after that maybe 2028. Then it will take a year or two for things to either settle or go moon, so 2030 we start seeing price approach $1m or exceed it and go to $10m, $20m, $50m, even $100m. Over time.