Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
JayJuanGee
on 04/10/2021, 03:48:51 UTC

Type                                 Current value($Trillions)     multiple of inefficiencies                  Value into BTC ($Trillions)
Derivatives                             $900.000                                 50%                                                  $450.000
Real Estate                             $220.000                                 60%                                                    $132.000
Stocks                                     $90.000                                 50%                                                    $45.000
Bonds                                     $130.000                                60%                                                    $78.000
currencies                              $120.000                                 90%                                                    $108.000
gold                                       $11.000                                 75%                                                    $8.250
silver                                     $1.200                                    75%                                                    $0.900
crypto                                     $1.000                                   50%                                                    $0.500

Total                                     $1,473.200                                                                                          $822.650

... good approach, we can tweak the asset class efficiencies and come up with a total addressable market in 2021 dollars
Be my guest...   I thought that I was attempting to use 2021 dollars...

... your numbers put that around $ 40 mill, I'm thinking of an order of magnitude O(m) range, $5-50mill?

I thought that my total was $822.65 trillion-ish... .. not sure where you are getting those $40 million or $5-50 million numbers.

I would love to see someone change some of the assumptions and then show where my numbers might be inadequate in one way or another - because I feel that my numbers are just nearly pure off the top of my head SOMA (if that's possible?) numbers in the sense that I just picked the first numbers that randomly passed through my head.. because I am not even sure if I understand the ramifications of each of the asset categories  in terms of how much they are being overvalued by having a kind of storage of value function.. and probably it becomes quite difficult to measure, too because it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy that a house that used to be worth $220k all of a sudden becomes valued a close to a $1million.. merely because everyone else is buying houses because they are afraid to keep money in cash.. and they just hardly have any clue where to put it.. so they just put it into real estate - like everyone else is doing.