mmpool just mined a block, and that's a pretty small pool. I think it had been about 3 years for them.
3 years...1 block...sitting 5-6x the hash rate of kanopool (currently). Gotta admire that dedication.
he share levels every once in a while in the discord channel, best so far this month is a 3.9T share.
Less than 5 times higher than that equals a block.
We've also had 5 over 1T so far this month, it's just random, we'll get the next one soon enough.
How do shares play into likelihood of getting a block? Why are you hoping for (I assume) ~15T share? Does the top left of the site show 60T share right now?