Op, don't believe in S2F too much because the mt gox story is not over yet and they will release the coins any time (can do that even this month) and the fear can clearly be felt after seeing the market shaken and btc under 60k. I don't say that it will not recover and make a new ath, but not in December 2021 according to my thinking. On other hand, I see money flowing back into alts and they are doing better than btc, so don't stick to btc at times when you know you can make better gains with other options.
But also the effects of the new covid-19 strain which really put a dent to all financial markets around the world. Maybe the critics of S2F modelling are now mocking it because we are far from it's prediction of 6 digits at the end of the year, maybe because it didn't take into account this kind of events (mt. Gox and then Omicron strain). But it is what is it, bitcoin is very volatile but it's good if we are going to end around $60k-$70k at least.