The trend will really break sometime and we will all lose money (fact), that's why it is important not to give in to emotions, not to try to guess the real trend break, just work on the strategy and remember to take the "cream" from the market. By guessing, you are wasting your time on things you cannot influence or predict.

A down trend only seems obvious in hindsight when it has already happened. Everyone will lose on the down-trend, those who think that they are the most "smart" and know the "zen of the market" will lose more than others.