Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
Biodom
on 27/12/2021, 01:02:22 UTC
Yes, people need to seriously think about this, @phil.
The critical part, imho, is when to switch from accumulation to distribution (for regular funds especially).
The dude who came up with 4% safe withdrawal doctrine now says that it is actually 4.7% of 'safe" spending per year.

Basically, in US, if the family has $1mil in ret funds (which should be quite doable if you had 401K and worked for, say, 30-35 years) and $3.1/k a mo from soc sec ($1550 is average for a person), then such "average" family should have about 47K+37K=84K/year in available funds, which should be enough in most parts of US. NY-maybe 125-150K/year, but in NY most people might have accumulated more because salaries there are higher as well.

Therefore, bitcoin is mostly extra, which could be either given to next gen, to charity or to the extended family.

I have been thinking about this a lot.

I still like mining. But it involves some work and I am 64.

Plan is work to 70 .

Sell the business share I have to my partners.

Cash in 50% and hodl the rest for 5 years.

revisit the coins in 75 and decide what to cash.

If all of the above happens. I could maybe touch 2 or 3 million at 70 plus the pensions and the wifes 401k It would mean a decent living standard for us.

Barring a very nasty inflation spike, $2 mil (will go from a lower number) plus pension(s) plus a decent 401K PLUS proceeds from part business ownership (difficult to value) PLUS 50% of btc portfolio and even without btc makes it "very likely not to die poor" situation. btc is just the icing on the cake in this situation. Well done!